Saturday, March 10, 2007

Signature Count


This graph was posted at Vox Galliae, from a larger version at Le Figaro. It shows the number of signatures obtained to date by the major candidates, excluding Sarkozy. The tallest bar represents the 4000 signatures for Ségolène Royal. Two observations: first, Le Pen does not have 500 signatures, hence his reliance on help from Sarkozy to get on the ballot. Vox Galliae points out the absurdity of a candidate who made it to the second round in 2002 not being able to get even to the first round without help from a rival. Second observation: Philippe de Villiers has more than I realized - 450 signatures, more even than Le Pen. This is good news. Is there a chance he'll make it to the first round?

This graph was posted at Le Figaro and the figures were obtained through questionnaires to the candidates. Some did not return the questionnaire. On the far left are, fittingly, Olivier Besancenot with 455 and José Bové with 420. Both men are extreme leftists. Then comes Arlette Laguiller of the Lutte Ouvrière Party (extreme Left also) with over 500. At the far right is Philippe de Villiers. Le Pen is third from the right. I know nothing about the other names on the graph. The PCF (French Communist Party) and François Bayrou (UDF Party) apparently saw fit not to respond.

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3 Comments:

At March 10, 2007 3:25 PM, Blogger Charles Henry said...

It is interesting that Philippe de Villiers has managed to gain more signatures than le pen, despite the high-level of exposure that le pan keeps getting, and the low-level of support seemingly demonstrated for PDV in the polls.

This signature system of credentializing candidates has a supreme flaw, if rival candidates can "assign" sponsorship signatures, as Sarkozy suggests he will for le pen. Maybe mme Royal can be persuaded to muscle some uncommitted socialist mayors to lend their support for De Villiers, so that he can siphon off first-round votes that otherwise would go to Sarkozy. Then Sarkozy can distribute some signatuares towards Besancenot, as a counter-attack.
It is like the US primary system that allows democrats to vote for republican nominees, and vice versa: calculating partisans deliberately vote in each other's party primaries, for candidates whom they feel would weaken the opposition's chances for victory.

Oh well, I guess no system is perfect, so long as human beings are involved...

 
At March 10, 2007 7:23 PM, Blogger crusader88 said...

At least de Villiers is stronger than I thought.

 
At March 11, 2007 5:23 PM, Anonymous dauphin_b612 said...

@ charles

Good "strategery". : ) In any case, it is not a good system and needs obviously to be reformed.

@ crusader

Yes, I hope de Villiers can pull off a surprise. He is the only candidate (along with Alliance Royale candidate Yves Adeline) who gives me hope of combatting the France of multi-culturalism without signing things over to the France of the Milice who hide their crooked cross behind Vercingétorix, Sainte Jeanne d'Arc, and the fleur-de-lys of our Kings and Queens.

 

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