Sunday, June 17, 2007

Vanneste Wins, Marine Loses

The following post is a conflation of several articles from the home page of Le Salon Beige for June 17, 2007, combining their comments with my own reactions:

In today's second round of voting in the legislative elections, with an estimated 40% abstaining, there were some surprises:

At 12:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time, the distribution of seats in the National Assembly breaks down thus (Note: These figures are definitive, but do not match perfectly with the tallies in the chart above. I will attempt later to clear up the discrepancies, but the basic results are the same).

UMP : 314 - Sarkozy

Majorité présidentielle : 22 - Parties affiliated with UMP

DVD : 9 - Diverse Right-wing parties

MPF : 1 - Movement for France, Philippe de Villiers' party. (I do not know who this candidate is. His only winning candidates were Véronique Besse and Joël Sarlot, both of whom won over 50% in the first round. See my next post for further explanation.)

PS : 185 - Socialist Party. These results combine with the results of diverse Left-wing parties and the Radical Left to give a total of 207 seats.

DVG : 15 - Diverse Left-wing parties

PRG : 7 - Radical Left

PC : 15 - Communist Party

Verts : 4 - Green Party

Modem : 4 - Democratic Movement (François Bayrou)

Div : 1 - Diverse

The Socialist Party, with 212 seats (the final figure is either 207 or 212) has MORE than in the period from 2002-2007. Paradoxically the UMP LOSES about 50 seats. The Communist Party and the Green Party have announced they are creating a joint parliamentary group.

Note: I'm not certain if this means a merger or an agreement to vote as one in the Assembly.

Christine Boutin was reelected with 58.32% of the votes. I have not yet written about her. She is Minister of Housing and one of the very few socially conservative Catholics in Sarkozy's cabinet.

Here's a shocker:

Alain Juppé, the new "Vice-Prime Minister" in charge of numerous portfolios, including energy and transportation, LOST to the socialist candidate. Now, by law, he must give up his position as Minister. It is felt his shady past and convictions were a factor. He is quoted as saying:

"...I will turn in my resignation to the Prime Minister tomorrow morning. (...) As for my municipal mandate (mayor of Bordeaux), the city council will meet and decide what is best for me to do."

Several prominent socialists were re-elected: François Hollande (the erstwhile partner of Ségolène Royal); Laurent Fabius, former Prime Minister under Mittterand; Jean-Louis Bianco, one of Ségolène Royal's campaign directors; Arnaud Montebourg, another of Royal's associates, though he did not always speak well of her.

François Bayrou was re-elected.

Minister of the Interior Michèle Alliot-Marie was re-elected.

Still another shocker:

Marine Le Pen LOST to the socialist Albert Facon! I'm sure there's great rejoicing among the Nationalists Against Le Pen. Still, somehow, I would have been glad if she had won, just to have a conservative voice (however unreliable) in the Assembly.

And the GOOD NEWS:

Christian Vanneste won. It was expected, but as you can see, "it ain't over 'till it's over."

More surprises (but not to the insiders):

François Hollande and his civil union partner of 25 years Ségolène Royal have separated. In a book due to come out on Wednesday, Ségolène Royal announces the separation and her desire to become the first secretary of the Socialist Party, the post currently held by François Hollande.

Another piece of decent news:

Alain Carignon, of whom I spoke in my most recent article on Philippe de Villiers, has lost. Villiers had refused to support him because of his almost incredible record of corruption. Good riddance.

And Jean-Marie Le Pen has launched an appeal for contributions to compensate for the disastrous financial consequences of the legislative elections.

It looks as if the French are already questioning Sarkozy's motives. He was expected to win over 400 seats. Instead, the socialists and affiliates captured several of them. But are the French questioning Sarkozy for the right reasons? To reward the Left, as they have done, indicates that they fear Sarko may be too right-wing!!! Prime Minister François Fillon said:

"...there are no right-wingers against left-wingers; there is a French people (...) we must federate our ideas (...) we must be able to reach a national consensus (...) to have an open and permanent dialogue with our social partners (i.e. socialists) (...) this victory authorizes a political plan (...) what we said we would do is what we will do (...) in July when we legislate on work, security, minimum benefits (...)

It sounds like he's saying that he will try to please the socialists as much as possible.

The graph of the election results is from Yahoo.



At June 18, 2007 7:00 PM, Anonymous Chico Ray said...

> Alain Juppé (...) LOST (..)
> by law, he must
> give up his position as Minister.
No, not "by law" : just by a promise of the president Sarkozy that any minister not elected as deputy would have to dismiss.

This is a pity that Alain Juppé lost (in front of a totally unknown socialist : he paid the price of his support to a mosque in Bordeaux) because if he had a checkered reputation as prime minister in a previous government, for this position of minister of Ecology (and more) he was really the right man in the right place.

At June 18, 2007 7:23 PM, Blogger tiberge said...

@ chico ray

Thank you for the important clarification. I merely repeat (or translate) what the news sources say. They all pointed to the "law". In fact, this morning, one of them said that there was no chance of a "dérogation" - implying a departure from law.


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